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The Weekly Catalyst

What Will Your Church’s Return On Investment Be in 2026? (And we’re not talking about money)

What Will Your Church's Return On Investment Be in 2026?

Word Count: 709 – Est Reading Time: <3 Minutes

What’s Up
Between Christmas and New Year’s, a pastor I know finally slowed down enough to look backward before charging forward. What he saw wasn’t failure … it was relentless busyness with very little to show for it.

So What
The church calendar had been full. Meetings happened – lots of meetings. Programs ran. Events stacked on top of events. By December, both the pastor and the leadership team were exhausted … and yet attendance was flat, baptisms were down, and momentum was nowhere to be found. The issue was simple and slippery at the same time. Nothing was technically broken, which made it even harder to name the problem.

The church didn’t collapse, it just arrived at 2026 more tired than it entered 2025. That’s the danger moment most churches miss. Activity feels faithful. Full schedules feel responsible. Constant motion feels like leadership. But motion without momentum quietly drains the life out of a congregation, and no one notices until the weariness settles in.

The Point Is

  • Busy Isn’t the Same as Productive
    A full calendar only proves one thing … you scheduled a lot. It doesn’t prove impact, growth, or mission movement. Churches rarely fail from neglect. They stall from exhaustion, and exhaustion almost always comes from confusing activity with mission and vision attainment.

  • Meetings Multiply Without Purpose
    If you’ve ever survived another meeting that should have been an email, you know the cost. Meetings expand to fill available space, not because they’re necessary, but because they’re habitual. The bylaws call for them. Time gets spent managing details instead of leading direction. The reports get read, the discussions get vociferous, and no one leaves clearer than they arrived.

  • Ministries Drift Into Maintenance Mode
    Ministry programs tend to exist long after their effectiveness fades. They once solved a problem, met a need, or served a moment. Over time, they become self-justifying. We do them because we’ve always done them, not because they’re still producing fruit.

  • Events Create Motion, Not Momentum
    Events feel urgent, visible, and satisfying to pull off. They generate short bursts of energy and long lists of tasks. But once they’re over, nothing fundamentally changes. No new families are attending. No one steps up for baptism. Status quo quietly wins another battle. Momentum only comes when effort aligns with outcomes that actually count.

And … ?
Here’s the part that matters. This pastor didn’t see laziness or disobedience when he reviewed the year. He saw good people doing what they’ve always done, because it’s what the calendar demanded. Somewhere along the way, status quo quietly took over.

And as he reviewed his own performance, he realized Pastor Fetch had set in. He’d devoted most of his time to running errands, managing expectations, keeping systems moving, doing member care, and solving problems that felt urgent but weren’t actually important.

Leadership slowly got replaced with maintenance. Vision conversations got crowded out by logistics. Direction got buried under administration. Mission was replaced by members. None of it was intentional. It was just momentum doing what momentum does when it’s never questioned.

Across the country, churches are closing every day. Most aren’t reckless. Most are tired. Somewhere north of 80 percent of churches are in some state of decline, not because they stopped caring, but because they never stopped long enough to evaluate what was actually producing results. Exhaustion breeds skepticism. Skepticism erodes belief that anything will change. Quiet discouragement settles in, especially among leaders who once felt called to lead, not manage.

The hopeful turn is this … nothing shifts until someone is willing to get honest about return on investment. Not money first, but time, energy, people, and focus. Churches don’t need more activity. They need fewer, better-aligned efforts that actually move the mission forward. Movement begins when leaders stop measuring effort and start measuring outcomes.

Action!
Before you plan another year, pull out last year’s calendar and ask what actually moved the mission forward, then register for this Thursday’s Catalytic Conversation at 10:00 a.m. Central, “2026: Building a Solid Foundation for the New Year,” where you’ll receive the Essential Metrics Tracker for 2026 when you register and the 2026 Vision Planning Guide if you attend live on Zoom. Register here for free: https://effective.effectivechurch.com/webinar-registration

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